Honestly, I feel as though I’m the only person in the world that believes Simone Manuel will beat Katie Ledecky in the 200 Free at NCAA’s.

For example…Mark and Kristian…

 

We aren’t in Long Course anymore, Toto. The short course race is 10% shorter with 4 more turns.

I’ll take the swimmer who goes out in the other swimmer’s best 100 Free time…every time. That being said, isn’t that what makes Katie Ledecky unbelievable?

Seriously though, Simone went out in 48.28 to her feet in the 200 Free at Pac 12’s. Ledecky’s fastest 100 Free is also 48.28.

200 Free: Pac 12 Splits

Simone Manuel 1:40.37
48.28
52.09
+3.81 differential

1st 50 23.05
2nd 50 25.23
3rd 50 25.65
4th 50 26.44

Katie Ledecky 1:40.50
49.55
50.95
+1.40 differential

1st 50 24.04
2nd 50 25.51
3rd 50 25.71
4th 50 25.24

 

Coincidentally similar progressions over time.

Simone Manuel

Year Time
2017 1:40.37
2016 1:41.90
2015 1:41.15
2014 1:42.03
2013 1:44.22
2012 1:44.86

Katie Ledecky

Year Time
2017 1:40.50
2016 1:42.16
2015 1:41.04
2014 1:42.38
2013 1:42.03
2012 1:44.56